@NateSilver538
Probabilistic thinking, election forecasting, and the science of prediction.
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January 5, 2026
Predictions, Productivity, and Pi
Matt Yglesias grades his 2024 predictions, Tyler Cowen spots AI in the productivity data, and Numberphile finds a new recipe for an old number.
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March 23, 2026
Tao Measures the Universe
Dwarkesh interviews Terence Tao on mathematical discovery, the ACX Grants results fund 42 projects, and EconTalk's Tim Ferriss conversation goes unexpectedly deep.
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March 16, 2026
Your Data Will Be Used Against You
Sean Carroll's Mindscape episode on surveillance, Gwern's writing process revealed, and Martha Nussbaum on why fear is toxic to democracy.
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